Expanding Human Time Horizons

These slides provide a set of group activities for expanding human time horizons in personal and organisational life.

Full instructions for each stage are below, including the text of the slides and slide notes.

Tool: Prompt questions and a group exercise

Duration: ~15 mins - 2 hours
Contributor: Roman Krznaric is an Australian-born social philosopher, whose books focus on the power of ideas to create change. His latest book is the international bestseller The Good Ancestor: How to Think Long Term in a Short-Term World. 

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Slides: Expanding Human Time Horizons

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Slide Content and Notes

Expanding Human Time Horizons

Roman Krznaric

A contribution to the Joseph Rowntree Foundation Collective Imagination Practices Toolkit. Expanding Human Time Horizons – a toolkit designed by Roman Krznaric

This set of activities is designed to take people on a journey of expanding their temporal imaginations, focusing on intergenerational responsibility and its applications in both personal life and in organisations

They have been designed for use by in-person groups but can easily be adapted for online use

It is important that the discussion activities are not rushed and that sufficient time is given for reflection on this challenging issue.

Roman Krznaric biography

Roman Krznaric is a social philosopher who writes about the power of ideas to create change. His internationally bestselling books, including The Good Ancestor: How to Think Long Term in a Short-Term World and Empathy, have been published in more than 25 languages. He is Senior Research Fellow at Oxford University’s Centre for Eudaimonia and Human Flourishing and founder of the world’s first Empathy Museum. His latest book is History for Tomorrow: Inspiration from the Past for the Future of Humanity.

Introduction: How to Be a Good Ancestor

Watch Roman Krznaric’s TED talk How To Be a Good Ancestor (7 minutes)

Roman Kznaric's TED talk 'How to be a good ancestor' on YouTube. A full transcript is available on the TED website.

What sorts of things do we wish our ancestors had done better for us?

What might our descendants wish we had done better for them?

Follow-up activity: How to be a Good Ancestor

Reflect on these two questions alone for 2 min

What sorts of things do we wish our ancestors had done better for us?

What might our descendants wish we had done better for them?

Then split into pairs and discuss for 5 min

Ask participants to report one of their key thoughts back to the group as a whole

An animation of the Human Time Horizons. (Text of the animation is available in this article below)

Mapping Time Horizons

Human beings operate on multiple time horizons, in both private life and public life. Extending our time horizons is one of the keys to being a good ancestor.

We need to learn to operate not just on the scale of seconds, minutes and hours, but on the scale of decades, centuries and even millennia (as illustrated in this animated graphic).

Background information

Extract adapted from The Good Ancestor by Roman Krznaric

[This can be read out to the group or printed out for each participant]

Human beings have an astonishing evolutionary gift: agile imaginations that can shift in an instant from thinking on a scale of seconds to a scale of years or even centuries. Our minds constantly dance across multiple time horizons. One moment we can be making a quickfire response to a text and the next thinking about saving for our pensions or planting an acorn in the ground for posterity. We are experts at the temporal pirouette. Whether we are fully making use of this gift is, however, another matter.

This graphic reveals how this capacity to range across time is expressed in both personal and public life. In personal life we sometimes think, plan and operate on a scale of minutes or seconds, such as when responding to a text message or clicking the Buy Now button. But our minds can instantly switch to a scale of hours (thinking about when our phone battery will die) or days (looking forward to a weekly exercise class or planning when we plan to do the laundry), or months (planning a three-month diet or the cycle of pregnancy), or years (deciding to do a college degree), and occasionally a scale of decades (taking out a mortgage or saving for a pension). Yet we rarely think far beyond the threshold of our own lifetimes: death is the common cut-off point for our imaginings. Survey data shows that for most people, even from different cultures and religious backgrounds, the future goes dark after 15 to 20 years. We simply find it difficult to picture more than a few decades ahead, which is why it can be so hard to save for old age.

A range of time horizons similarly operates in public life. High frequency share trading works in milliseconds, fashion fads and quarterly business reporting in months, and election cycles in years. Temporal vision seldom extends further than a decade, although there are exceptions, such as NASA’s 30-year space exploration programme, the Chinese government’s 35-year National Plans, the building of flood defences and long-term seed banks. In general, the public future goes dark after around three decades. In 2020, it is difficult to find any governments, corporations or international organisations that are making substantive plans beyond 2050.

In both public and private life, then, we are operating within a relatively narrow temporal bandwidth and failing to draw on the imaginative capacity of our acorn brains to think into the long future. Moreover, forces such as digital technology are driving us towards even shorter horizons than in the past, so more and more of our activity is being concentrated in the bands closest to the present. The future is rapidly closing in on us.

Yet we must extend our vision if we hope to have a chance of meeting the challenges of existential risk and civilisational breakdown that our species will be confronting not just in the decades ahead, but in the centuries and millennia to come. The future needs to stay illuminated far beyond 20 or 30 years

Human Time Horizons

PUBLIC LIFE Human Time Horizons PERSONAL LIFE
Stock markets SecondsBuy now button
24/7 news MinutesCoffee break
Intercity trains HoursPhone battery
Discount sales DaysLaundry
Quarterly reporting MonthsPregnancy
Election cycles YearsCollege degree
Social struggles DecadesPension
Flood defences CenturiesTree planting
Seed banks MillenniaTime Capsule

What activities in your personal life happen on these different time scales?

What in your organisation or field of work happens on these different time scales?

Follow-up Activity: Mapping Time Horizons

Give everyone a printout of this slide. (This can also be done on an online Miro board using the Sticky Note tool, so everyone can see each other’s responses)

Spend 5 minutes alone writing down your responses to these two questions (alongside the appropriate time horizon)

  1. What activities in your personal life happen on these different time scales?

  2. What in your organisation or field of work happens on these different time scales?

Now spend 10 minutes in small groups of 3 to 4 people comparing your responses and discussing this question: What patterns do you notice?

Discussion: Barriers to Long-Term Thinking

What are the biggest barriers to long-term thinking and planning in your organisation or field of work?

PART 1

  • Have an open group discussion about this question: What are the biggest barriers to long-term thinking and planning in your organisation or field of work?

  • Encourage participants to relate this to their responses to the Mapping Time Horizons activity

  • Allow at least 10 minutes

Discussion: Opportunities for Long-Term Thinking

Where are the greatest opportunities for designing in new or different perceptions of time your organisation or field of work?

Consider levers such as: measurement of progress/impact, financing sources, 100-year plans, employee incentives, supply chains, governance, ownership structures, accountability

PART 2

  • In small groups of 3 or 4 people, discuss this question: Where are the greatest opportunities for designing in new or different perceptions of time in your organisation or field of work?

  • Encourage participants to consider levers such as: measurement of progress/impact, financing sources, 100-year plans, employee incentives, supply chains, governance, ownership structures, accountability

  • Allow at least 10 minutes

  • Get feedback from the group. Discuss possible drawbacks to their proposed ideas. How might these drawbacks be mitigated or circumvented?

Design a Project

As a group, design a practical project that shifts the time horizons of your organisation in a way that benefits future generations at least 30 years from today

Consider aspects such as who would be involved, how it would be financed, how its impact could be assessed, how you would get organisational buy-in, how barriers would be overcome, what it would be called

Present its key elements.

Optional Design Challenge

  • In groups of 3-5 people:

    • As a group, design a practical project that shifts the time horizons of your organisation in a way that benefits future generations at least 30 years from today

    • Consider aspects such as who would be involved, how it would be financed, how its impact could be assessed, how you would get organisational buy-in, how barriers would be overcome, what it would be called

    • Present its key elements.

  • Allow 20-25 minutes for group planning, and ensure presentations are 2 minutes maximum

  • Leave time at the end for general reflections or discussion on the topic of Expanding Human Time Horizons

Menu of Conversation

These questions have been designed by the social philosopher Roman Krznaric, based on his book The Good Ancestor, to stimulate adventurous conversations with family, friends, colleagues and strangers.

Please take your time, discuss them in any order, and listen and speak with respect.

  • What legacy do you want to leave for your family, future generations and the living world?

  • How have you balanced making short-term and long-term decisions in your life?

  • What actions could you take to be a better ancestor?

  • How should we weigh up the interests of current versus future generations?

  • How do you feel about your relationship with time?

  • What sorts of things do we wish our ancestors had done better for us?

  • What might our descendants wish we had done better for them?

  • How do you feel about your life being just an eyeblink in the vast 13.8-billion-year history of the universe?

  • What are your greatest hopes and fears about the future?

  • How far into the future will your life and actions have consequences? How do you feel about them?

  • What impact does your phone, work or religion have on your attitude to time?

  • What should be the ultimate goal of the human species?

‘A satisfying conversation is one that makes you say what you have never said before.’ – Theodore Zeldin

Optional Conversation Activity

  • Use this Menu of Conversation to have a 30-minute discussion about long-term thinking over lunch or during a coffee break.

  • This can be done in pairs or groups of up to four people.

  • Encourage people to pick and choose the questions that interest them rather than going through the questions in sequence. They might just end up discussing one or two questions.

  • Remind them to listen empathically and respectfully.

Further Reading on Long Term Thinking

Roman Krznaric, The Good Ancestor: How to Think Long Term in a Short-Term World

Bina Venkataraman, The Optimist’s Telescope: Thinking Ahead in a Reckless Age

Marcia Bjornerud, Timefulness: How Thinking Like a Geologist Can Help Save the World

Andri Snær Magnason, On Time and Water

Jonas Salk and Jonathan Salk, A New Reality: Human Evolution for a Sustainable Future

Kim Stanley Robinson, The Ministry for the Future